Many thanks to "Thirsty" Kyle Soppe of the Fantasy Focus 06010 podcast and to The Stat-a-Pillar, Damian Dabrowski of The Fantasy Show on ESPN+, for their help with this. It's a proud and bittersweet adjustment for me, and one his mother and I are still in the process of making, with varying degrees of success. I expect him to improve in his second year in the NFL. Basically, it's a 12-team league where the lowest-scoring team each week gets cut from the league entirely. But it isn't when you're passing on an elite option at another position to grab a QB early. In most ESPN drafts this year, I'd expect roughly the same number of RBs and WRs to be off the board through two rounds and I'm much more likely to open my draft RB-WR or RB-RB than WR-RB. There's a reason we are at 4.8 stars in the App Store. If you buy into the age trends, this would put James White and David Johnson in a tough spot this season, as they are the only two backs from this group graduating from this age range. Look, not including Mike McCarthy, we all know how good Jones is when given the opportunity. He is a producer and writer, known for Avengers: Endgame (2019), Daddio (2000) and Desperate Housewives (2004). I've made this point a lot, including earlier in this column but I don't care. So the key is not just having huge single-game potential but knowing WHEN to start a player to get that big game when it happens. Those are just some numbers to tell you what you know instinctively: that versatile backs have more ways to score points, especially in a PPR format. (Editor's note: That wasn't it.). The information you requested is not available at this time, please check back again soon. Last year no one liked him and he exploded. They are immensely talented players and they are my top three tight ends as well. Jay Gruden (the Jaguars' new offensive coordinator) has been an OC or head coach for eight full seasons. My thinking: Bad team that will need to throw a ton, Minshew is more mobile than he gets credit for. Kupp was also fifth among all qualified WRs in yards per target (10.9). What's most likely to happen? Fantasy Football Team (many, in a nod to Washington Football Team), 4. Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb. A good place to start is our Mock Draft Lobby, of course. 1 fantasy site in the world, is that average draft position is largely driven by the default rankings on whichever site you play. A player who could wind up as an elite option at a position in any given week. But here are a few hints as to what to look for: How many times have you heard "I want quarterback X because his team stinks and will be playing from behind." If so, you can be a little more aggressive in going after talented but injury-prone players. Finally, the seventh round is where the Bears D/ST is being drafted. Berry started as a writer for television and film and creating a few pilots and film scripts with his writing partner Eric Abrams with varying success. Most years I'm right. He's also been heavily praised this offseason by Jon Gruden, offensive coordinator Greg Olson and even his new teammate Antonio Brown. Thanks to "Thirsty" Kyle Soppe of the Fantasy Focus 06010, The Stat-a-pillar of "The Fantasy Show" on ESPN+, Damian Dabrowski and Kevin Pulsifer, who need a nickname for their help at various points in this column. So looking at average weekly production from WR2s on playoff ESPN teams, it's about 16.6 points per game from that position. And even if, somehow, there were a slight downturn in production, I wouldn't care. I just want to use them to show that building around a star running back (or even two, depending on the flow of your draft) is the percentage play based on data gathered from the past four seasons (and especially last year). He's insanely talented, we all know that, but considering his WR2(!) 9. 9. 1. Tony Pollard, Dallas Cowboys (ADP RB 44, 149.4 overall), 6. My thinking: The second-best RB in fantasy for the four weeks Melvin Gordon was holding out last year, Ekeler returns to his heavy-usage ways all season long. But what if it doesn't go the way everyone thinks? Through the first six rounds, you've likely got at least two starting running backs, two starting wide receivers and one flex. In the past 15 years, only one rookie TE (Evan Engram) has finished as a top-10 player at the position, and that was a fluky year where Odell Beckham Jr. missed the majority of the season and Brandon Marshall and Sterling Shepard also missed a decent amount of time. Other Round 14 targets: Michael Gallup and Royce Freeman. In general, over the past three years on ESPN, the average difference between players picked in Rounds 4, 5 and 6 is less than 1.5 points per game. ... or some such. A player with a high floor during the course of a season. ESPN’s Matthew Berry got into a heated Twitter exchange with Josh Jacobs, criticizing the Raiders star for antagonizing the fantasy football community. What should he care? And you're drafting as if that will continue? Do you have an IR spot? That's not the case at RB or WR. GREEN? It won't always work out, of course, but like everything else in life, if you play the odds, it will work out more often than not. Sure, there's always a chance there's another Jared Cook or Eric Ebron type waiting out there this year. Let's start, as we always do, with the most important piece of fantasy football advice I can give. Howard (ADP: 65.4, TE5; My Rank: TE6): Like Godwin, Howard is a player who should benefit greatly from a more consolidated target tree in Tampa Bay this season. From this article to the end of your season, every single thing you do needs to lead back to that very simple but rarely followed rule. Before he became known as the “Talented Mr. Roto,” fantasy sports guru to millions, Matthew Berry started out as a screenwriter for Hollywood. Every difference matters. Remember, Kittle was drafted as TE18 last year. For years, the combine was for, you know, REAL FOOTBALL PEOPLE. That in Weeks 16 and 17, the championship weeks in ESPN standard leagues, no running back would have more fantasy points than C.J. Howard also finished 2018 top-10 among TEs in both air yards per target and reception percentage, making him a great fit for Bruce Arians' downfield passing attack. New York Giants TE Evan Engram. Green. Fantasy football can bring out the best in people … and the worst. So there I am, new kid in school, with no idea what to do, where to go, who to talk to, how to, just, you know, "combine.". As of this writing, Dante Pettis and Golden Tate are going as WR37 and 38, respectively, both being drafted in the 11th round. Honestly, our ESPN Fantasy App is badass and can do everything, including, I am pretty sure, cure the common cold. That Patrick Mahomes, with just one game under his belt as a starter, would double the amount of touchdown passes thrown by Aaron Rodgers. It is a great opportunity for networking, for information gathering, for becoming immersed in the NFL for the upcoming year. And that's because of his volume (last season, he handled an NFL-high 48.3% of his team's touches). He's a legit third-rounder. 8. 5. That Darrel Williams is the Chiefs RB you want if you are looking for insurance behind Clyde Edwards-Helaire. The reports on him coming out of OTAs were positive, and I'm more than willing to take a 12th-round flier on the player I think has a real shot to be Green Bay's second-most-productive WR this season. Undrafted guys like Phillip Lindsay, Jaylen Samuels and Eric Ebron, as well as Nick Chubb -- who was drafted but then dropped in most leagues -- were crucial parts of ESPN championship teams last year. As the Manifesto rips up its fake ID and proudly saunters into the casino, you'll find some updated but classic thoughts and theory that longtime readers will find familiar. As I sat down to write this, a day after we celebrated David's birthday, I realized the coincidence of this column being the same age as my kid and, well, I started reflecting. And had he qualified last season, he would have led the league in both deep completions and deep attempts per game. Peter, of course, is a legend in our industry and most well known for his iconic "Monday Morning Quarterback" column that he wrote for Sports Illustrated for so many years. Matthew Berry (ESPN, The Talented Mr. Roto), the face of fantasy football co-founded the app as a place for fans to chat about sports, get fantasy advice, and even find sleepers for your team. ESPN’s Matthew Berry announced the star-studded, 14-team AGBO league earlier this week that was the brainchild of Guillermo Lozano and Avengers: Endgame co-director Joe Russo. I Kalen Like a Wrecking Ball (many) List 10: 10 of the best Kalen Ballage-inspired fantasy team names (I can print) inspired by this column. Anyway, just know every time I do a mock draft (or any kind of league), I will always put it out on Twitter, so check there first. You know how much fun, how awesome, how addictive fantasy football is. (0:54)Matthew Berry is taking the under on a 15-point fantasy output for Ezekiel Elliott vs. the Eagles in Week 16. As discussed, a player like Murray is a great target in this area because he's productive enough to use as a flex if needed, yet he also has the upside to be an every-week starter if Alvin Kamara were to get injured. RB G is the Seahawks' Chris Carson, RB H is the Vikings' Dalvin Cook (both have missed some time with injury in that span: Carson three games, Cook seven games. Study that thing like it's the Zapruder film (finally a reference that's older than 21!). Watch the latest episode. I'm gonna repeat it once more, because it's that's important: At a fundamental level, the key to fantasy football success is minimizing risk on a weekly basis to give yourself the best odds to win. Zach Ertz (2018): 280.3 points Remember, this is a hobby. Dart throws. But most people didn't get to enjoy Henry's monster game, as he was started in less than 20% of ESPN leagues that week. • In 2016, the top three TEs in fantasy scored 639.3 points. Speaking of mock drafts, if you do join one, don't leave. You get it. Only difference is targets, and I expect an increase in targets and a typical Year 2 leap for Fant. Create or join a league today >> And so forth. How many roster spots do you have? So with the bosses'  blessing, I quit baseball to focus on fantasy football in 2014. And maybe, just like last season, he shatters all perceptions and has another amazing year. And in that case, only the commissioner or host website for the league should wield that power. As long as we're talking about trying new things, try some different league types. Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger, currently going as QB 16, finishes the year as a top five fantasy QB. 140 osób mówi o tym. And having Matt Ryan and Julio Jones or Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins last year certainly worked out for folks, as did having Amari Cooper and Ezekiel Elliott or Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas.